Looking at the PPP poll.

I want to go through the entire poll issued today and take a hard look at who are the winners and losers at this point.  I think you have to look at the poll in light of who has been out in the district traveling and who has been spending how much money.

Biggest winner Virgil Goode.  Strong name ID and strong polls.   No money spent, travels a lot.
Second biggest winner Robert Hurt - good ID negatives match positives after being beaten up for some time now.  Has been tied up for over a month.  General Assembly time may be big asset for seeing lots of people in his district as they come to Richmond though.
Biggest surprise Ron Ferrin  Though his numbers are low, they are the best for the money spent of anyone. Can he build on this ? Will have to raise money and get internet fire.
Biggest Loser  Lawrence Verga After spending almost 50 K he is at 2%.  He says he is the TEA Party candidate but there is a huge gap between the TEA party generic vote of 19% and his number.  Why ?  Verga has been throughout the district but clearly even his "Joe the Plumber" trip and his other travels have yielded little support. He has been the most vocal attackinhg Hurt and it hasn't gotten him much.
Can we stay around ?  Jim McKelvey's numbers are as bad as Verga's 2%,  He has spent a lot of money on consultants, like Verga and has the same 2%.  He wants to be the TEA Party guy but that space is already taken. Has not really traveled the district outside of GOP meetings yet.  McKelvey's web site still only has 15 counties/cities listed in the district.
On life support Mike Mcpadden has lost another campaign manager who was really helping him with TEA Parties and conservatives that Mike could never have reached.  Can he now recover ? McPadden did a tour through the district some time ago and came home after three very rainy days with little press and worse attendance.  He needs professional help and quickly.
Where is the grass roots ? Feda Morton has the biggest name supporters bit none of them live in the 5th and they only get her to 4%  That equates to 16 people out of the 400 polled.  She has traveled but gets no more support than Ferrin who was a total unknown before this.  Her campaign seems to be depending on out of district advice and really has not taken hold.  She was perhaps the smartest with her press release this week, totally ignoring the poll and saying come see me.
Stuck in the middle Ken Boyd  Not viewed by TEA parties as theirs anywhere. Many in Albemarle say his School Board  and Board of Supervisors records have many go along to get along votes with the liberals in the county.  His 12% is good but way below his own polls. His fundraising was not what was expected. No full time manager in the field. Needs help. Dumbest press release of the week.

enough enough enough