Since McPadden lost his second campaign manager some have done some speculating. I think it is more useful to examine whet the real differences were and the quality of what is left for every campaign.
First it seems clear that Josh left because of a difference in beliefs. That is a very principled reason to leave a campaign. You have to go over McPadden's website carefully to see what he really believes and it is way out in the libertarian world. He is making pledges that are impossible to keep just to get endorsed. Joshua is a strong Christian minister and some of McPadden just would not work for him.
As for Ed Robb, one has only to look at financial reports and McPadden didn't pay Ed nor his prior consultant until December.
Now he has no manager but I have been told he is claiming a much stronger team of a half dozen or so are soon to join his team. Where is the money coming from ?
Current rating of his team. 7th
Verga has no real manager, just a part timer holding the title to give some idea that there is something there. Verga has been trying to hire for quite some time and no one has been willing to take the job. Cortes is a loose wire with few contacts and just part time. With Verga's money, he should be able to hire a pro but is paying people in DC instead.
Current rating of this non team. 6th
Ferrin has no manager and with his plan does not need one at this point. Hard to rank a no manager as stronger than having one but both McPadden and Verga have been hurt rather than helped by theirs.
Current rating of this team 5th
Morton is,depending on who talks, on her third or fourth manager. The current one is a nice young man with no experience and who lives across the district from her. His value set is the same as hers and he isn't harming her. Her lack of stability has hurt her image.
Current rating of the team 4th.
McKelvey has hired Brian O'connor, a step up from his prior manager who is still helping. Give him something for stability. O'connor has a long Fifth District history but can he transfer his friendships to McKelvey ? The next month will show whether this team goes up or down.
Current rating of this team 3rd
Boyd has very good out of state consultant but no hired in place manager. Great volunteers except whoever wrote last weeks press release after the PPP Poll. The first piece of literature was impressive but this campaign has been stalled ever since.
Rating of this team 2nd
Hurt has put together a team that dwarfs the rest. His campaign manger Sean Harrison just came off running a high profile House of Delegates campaign in NOVA and he seems to have lots of friends. Good people skills seen so far. Will have to see how he does over the long haul. Consultant LaCivita knows the district and has excelled for years. They also have a lady who was on the Victory staff last year. Impressive group. The team shows a lot about Hurt.
Rating on this team - 1st ++
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1st: McElvey's manager, Brian O'Connor--is he from Rice? Prince Edward County?
ReplyDelete2d: as for Hurt's team, yep, its professional from head to toe.
Yes, O'connor is from Prince Edward. Don't know about Rice but maybe.
ReplyDeletedid he work for Brownlee's nomination?
ReplyDeletealso, your time stamp on comments is off.
McKelvey has other very good consultants as well. He might have the second best team. Gerry Scimeca and Jeff Ryer are both seasoned consultants. Scimeca was the former communications director for the RPV and worked on the Poindexter campaign (9th district HOD) and Ryer has worked on various campaigns throughout the state.
ReplyDeleteScimeca can be good but his stint at RPV was not a great one especially when compared to his successor. It appears from the finance reports that McKelvey overpaid them for their initial help. If Griffith runs in the 9th, they will be totally tied up there as both are close to Griffith. Until that is settled, McKelvey gets third with a stronger possibility of going down than up.
ReplyDeleteReal 5th seems to be well informed. How about some speculation here on Valentine's Day--about four months from the June primary.
ReplyDeleteIf we had the primary right now, how would the list of results look? (And forget Virgil.)